Nifty Gap Lab
weekday-gap options research
Data current NIFTY 50 ₹22520.45 —

First look? How this strategy works

Total P&L ₹182,880.27 ladder strategy
Win Rate 29.9% 157 trades
Sharpe (Ann.) 1.07 daily returns, annualised
Max Drawdown ₹79,961 peak to trough

Live Positions

Marked against live NIFTY spot · re-marked every minute

No live positions right now.

Cards appear here when a tradeable pair signals and its entry date arrives.

Past Trades

Click an entry date for its premium path · click headers to sort

Filters

Equity Curve

Cumulative portfolio value with drawdown shading

Equity & per-pair P&L

Gap Probabilities

In-sample edge vs realised out-of-sample result, 95% CI

Weekday pair gap probability

Exit Reasons

How trades ended · count per rule

Benchmark

Ladder exits vs simply holding every trade to expiry

Ladder vs benchmark
Strategy parameters

Changes re-run the backtest instantly on this page only — nothing here is saved or used for advice.

Tradeable pairs

Uncheck a pair to drop it from the backtest.

Exit ladder & pricing
IV flat
Stop 1 (%)
Stop 2 (%)
Floor 1 (%)
Floor 2 (%)
Floor 3 (%)
Brokerage ₹/trade
Slippage %

Expiry Weekday Pairs

In-sample probability of a favourable open vs realised out-of-sample result, with 95% confidence intervals. Green means the OOS result landed on the strategy's side of the coin flip.

Pair Side In-sample OOS Realised OOS CI n (in) n (oos)
Mon→Tue CE 60.7% 34.6% 19.4–53.8% 28 26
Mon→Wed PE 0.0% 66.7% 20.8–93.9% 1 3
Tue→Wed CE 57.7% 48.1% 30.7–66.0% 26 27
Tue→Thu PE 33.3% — — 3 0
Wed→Thu CE 62.5% 46.4% 29.5–64.2% 24 28
Wed→Fri PE 33.3% 0.0% 0.0–65.8% 3 2
Thu→Mon CE 100.0% 100.0% 51.0–100.0% 1 4
Thu→Fri PE 30.8% 58.3% 38.8–75.5% 26 24
Fri→Mon CE 60.7% 44.0% 26.7–62.9% 28 25
Fri→Tue CE 100.0% 100.0% 20.7–100.0% 1 1

Pairs with tiny samples (n < 5) are shown for completeness — treat them as noise, not signal.